I was following the election carefully last night using the Fox News election results web site. I noticed something strange that I think would be worth investigating. Call me a conspiracy theorist if you will, but these are just the facts as I saw them election night.
Wisconsin had reported 94% (2,970,236) of the precincts counted just before 2am on Wednesday, with 1,430,581 (45.3%) for Biden and 1,539,655 (48.7%) for Trump. If the reporting was accurate and the distribution of votes random among the precincts, then the total number of votes expected would be approximately 2,970,236/0.94 = 3,159,826 votes. This leaves 3,159,826 – 2970236 = 188,590 votes remaining.
At that time Biden would need to capture fully 78.8% of the remaining vote to overtake Trump – a high bar, even for a democrat-rich ballot harvesting session. Yet just after 2am, in one fell swoop, that’s exactly what happened. At that moment 188,202 more Wisconsin votes suddenly appeared (although the % of precincts counted only advanced 1%, from 94% to 95%). Of these 188,202 votes, fully 152,531 (81%) were for Biden, while only 35,671 (19%) were for Trump. This is an incredibly disproportionate distribution of votes. In addition, while the % of precincts counted only advanced 1%, this block of votes represented approximately 6% of all Wisconsin votes up until that time. This may be due to differences in reporting precinct sizes, or possibly the reporting of mail-in or harvested ballots from a particularly large precinct, but this is still a wildly unrealistic distribution of votes. The discrepancy in the percent of precincts counted with respect to the large number of votes reported could also signify that the votes were not expected, and were only recently received via mail or dropped off by “harvesters”. At best this block of votes appears extraordinary; at the worst, suspicious.
I suspect that these were “harvested” votes, which – in my humble opinion – are the most vulnerable to potential fraud. Vote “harvesters”, who are third parties (and possibly political operatives), pick up ballots from voters for delivery to the post office, polling locations, or counting centers. In many cases these “harvesters” are not required to identify themselves to either the voter or the registrar/SoS (Secretary of State), resulting in no way to trace the ballots back to the harvester. In other words, the chain of custody is broken by the use of ballot harvesters – a chain that is important to preserve the validity of the ballots.
Without a chain of custody, how do we know that the ballots are genuine and/or completed by the actual voter? With many states mailing out ballots to everyone’s last known address, what are the odds that some are undeliverable or go to an address not associated with the voter? What’s to stop a ballot harvester from collecting these ballots for others to complete? The only method I have heard to prevent this form of ballot fraud is a simple signature check by election officials – none of whom I have ever understood as having advanced training (or any training…) in signature analysis. Without a chain of custody controlled by the registrar or the government (for example, voter -> USPS -> registrar/SoS (mail-in ballots), or voter -> polls -> registrar/SoS (in-person ballots), the ballot could be compromised. Think about it: After you voted at a polling location, how secure would you feel if the poll worker advised you to go outside and hand your ballot to anyone on the sidewalk for delivery to the registrar/SoS? Would you feel your vote was secure?
Other possible sources of ballot fraud that could result in a disproportionate distribution of votes in harvested ballots are selective discard or collection. If harvesters discard ballots likely to contain votes for the opposition, or only collect ballots expected to help their candidate, then such disproportionate distributions could result. In either case, as we’ve seen in Wisconsin it only takes a few hundred thousand votes to skew an election from a probable loss to an astounding victory.
The circumstances surrounding the vote count in Wisconsin – in particular with respect to the large block of disproportionately Biden-heavy votes that suddenly appeared just after 2am (PST) – should be investigated. These votes effectively altered the outcome of a presidential election, and their sudden appearance late in the count – without a commensurate increase in the % of precincts counted, and as a result of their heavily skewed voting pattern – should be viewed with skepticism.